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Can You Guess the Housing Market?
Main / Boise Home Builder  

Read the following article and see if you can guess which housing market the writer is writing about. I've replaced all the references to the particular housing market and any other key words that might give away the answer with blank spaces. Youll find the answer at the end of the article.

 

Home sales forecast to plunge in 2008
2008-07-11 09:54:43
 
Sales of residential houses in the _______________ _____________ are forecast to plunge this year to the level of 10 years ago as homebuyers and investors continue to adopt a wait-and-see attitude as prices nosedive.
 
"Prices are expected to drop another 10 percent as some struggling small- and medium-sized real estate developers and speculators are selling properties for cheap to maintain cash flow," said ___________, a senior real estate analyst with ___________________________.
 
According to the latest research report on ______________’s housing market in the first half of this year, released by the _____________________________________, the average housing prices in May fell 36 percent from the peak in October.
 
The total supply of new residential houses amounted to nearly (16.6 million square feet) in the first half of this year, down 54 percent from a year before. About (7 million square feet) remained unsold, up 84.5 percent from the same period last year.
 
"Based on current sales, we forecast that just about (37.7 million square feet) of residential housing area will be sold this year," said _________, director of ________ Real Estate Institute.
 
The tightening mortgage policy has put a sudden brake on the overheating housing market, especially in ________, __________, and _______, where prices had mainly been driven by speculation.
 
Economic uncertainties as a result of the global slowdown and the tight monetary policy at home have also dampened the real estate market, __________ said. But he added that the current slump would soon pass. "Property demand will keep rising in the long term and _________’s real estate market will regain its vitality."
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
The article was about the housing market in Shenzhen, China.  Did you guess correctly?  Click here to read the original article.
 
 
 
 
 
 
Chuck Miller GMB   CGB   CGP MIRM   CMP   MCSP   CSP
President / Builder – Chuck Miller Construction Inc.
(208) 229-2553

 

Posted by Chuck Miller at 8/2/2008 11:09 AM Permalink | Trackback
Comments (6)
Re:Can You Guess the Housing Market?
Brilliant! Your post had more meaning the way you did it than just reading the original article!

I wasn't even on the right continent.

Jim P.
Posted by Jim Paulson on 8/2/2008 3:12 PM
Re:Can You Guess the Housing Market?
This is great...its like the anti NAR! Instead of blah blah blah housing will always go up...its blah blah blah housing will go down.

If these guys want to get any traction to this idea they should spend millions bribing congress (in China) and on adertising. NAR pulled a huge scam on America...congrats all you builders and RE agents who bought it...if the other side had their money they could make the same empty comments drive the market back down...

BTW have you ever been to Shenzhen? I have twice. They are toast. An apartment their cost much more than Boise HAHAHA the average wage is about $4K per year... their is SO MUCH dumb money floating around the globe that is just asking to get exploded. The only thing that will save China is that they actually save money! Wow!
Posted by emdeplam on 8/2/2008 3:14 PM
Re:Can You Guess the Housing Market?
Guess this quote
"Let's hope we are all wealthy and retired by the time this house of card falters."



(S&P rating agency describing the whole mortgage bond market)
Posted by emdeplam on 8/2/2008 3:19 PM
Re:Can You Guess the Housing Market?
...meant to add it was from an internal email...me thinks it was SEC that dug it out...
Posted by emdeplam on 8/2/2008 3:20 PM
Re:Can You Guess the Housing Market?
There was an article yesterday on the Wall Street Journal Online about the draft version of a Securities and Exchange Commission report on bond-rating firms. The report cites a number of internal emails from Standard & Poors staff regarding their rating of CDO's and other mortgage and structured debt. I think one conclusion that can be drawn from that article is that the "irrational exhuberance" that fueled the housing boom for two years was not limited to Realtors and Builders. I know I've referred to it before, but I will mention again the book "Niagra of Capital" by Anthony Downs does a very good job of explaining the global forces that were driving the housing boom worldwide.

Chuck Miller GMB CGB CGP MIRM CMP MCSP CSP
President
Chuck Miller Construction Inc.
chuck@chuckmillerconstruction.com
(208) 229-2553
Posted by Chuck Miller on 8/2/2008 5:37 PM
Re:Can You Guess the Housing Market?
"Let's hope we are all wealthy and retired by the time this house of card falters."

Analysts at Standard & Poor's Rating Services
Posted by Anonymous on 8/2/2008 5:40 PM
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